日本経済：人口減少と高齢化に対処するための戦略

印刷

開催日 2023年2月1日
スピーカー ランダル・ジョーンズ（コロンビア大学ビジネススクール日本経済経営研究所（CJEB）プロフェショナルフェロー / 元OECD経済総局日本韓国課長）
コメンテータ 北尾 早霧（RIETI上席研究員（特任））
モデレータ 佐分利 応貴（RIETI国際・広報ディレクター / 経済産業省大臣官房参事）
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開催言語 英語
開催案内/講演概要

Japan's total population is projected to fall by nearly one-fifth to around 93 million by 2060, while, the share of elderly (65 and older) rises from 28% to 39%. The elderly dependency ratio is forecast to reach 80%, reducing the number of working-age persons to 1.3 per elderly. If labor market entry and exit by age and gender remain constant, the labor force would contract by more than 30% by 2060. The rapid demographic shift threatens Japan’s ability to fulfil its commitment to provide universal health and long-term care and pensions for the elderly. Meeting the demographic challenge requires a comprehensive strategy:
・Mitigating the decline in the labor force by further increasing female employment, extending the careers of older persons and making greater use of older workers.
・Boosting labor productivity, which has fallen below the OECD average.
・Increasing the efficiency of health and long-term care.
・Implementing effective macroeconomic policies.