This month's featured article
How Have Japanese Inflationary Expectations Evolved since January 2020: Evidence from the stock market
Willem THORBECKESenior fellow, RIETI
To read the full text:
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/columns/a01_0781.html
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The period since COVID-19 appeared in January 2020 has been labeled the megacrisis period. The pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine War, volatile oil and food prices, the Trump trade war, exchange rate fluctuations, and other factors have buffeted the world economy. How have these factors affected Japanese inflationary expectations?
Rising oil and food prices, a weakening yen and other factors can raise the inflation rate. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has been attempting to increase inflation at least since Haruhiko Kuroda became head of the BoJ in March 2013. In April 2013 the BoJ implemented quantitative and qualitative monetary easing, significantly increasing the monetary base. In January 2016 it instituted negative interest rates and in September 2016 it introduced yield curve control by targeting short and long-term interest rates. The BoJ abandoned negative rates on the uncollateralized overnight call rate in March 2024. It raised its target for overnight interest rates to 0.25 per cent in July 2024 and to 0.5 per cent in January 2025.
Related Papers
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RIETI-CEPR Symposium "Two Speed Inflation: Implications for policy around the globe"
To read the summary: https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/23031001/summary.html
To watch the video: https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/23031001/handout.html
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List of Discussion Papers:
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/act_dp.html
List of Upcoming and Past Symposiums:
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/symposium.html
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https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/bbl/
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