RIETI Report September 5, 2025

China’s electronics export juggernaut and lessons for the US

Dear Readers,

Welcome to RIETI Report. This bi-weekly newsletter will keep you updated with the recent columns, event information and research results by RIETI fellows and other leading economists in Japan and around the world.

In this edition, we are featuring topics related to China's ascent on the global trade stage. In his latest column, RIETI Senior Fellow Dr. Willem Thorbecke explores how China rose to the center of global trade, focusing on electronics manufacturing and the effects of tariffs and exchange rates before the trade war. To avoid future protectionism, he urges both China and the United States to shift focus - China toward domestic consumption, and the United States toward strengthening manufacturing fundamentals.

We hope you will enjoy it. If you have any feedback, we would love to hear from you (news-info@rieti.go.jp).
Editors of RIETI Report (Facebook: @en.RIETI / X: @RIETIenglish / URL: https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/)

This month's featured article

China’s electronics export juggernaut and lessons for the US

Willem THORBECKESenior Fellow, RIETI

CHEN ChenAssociate Professor at China’s Fuzhou University of International Studies and Trade

Nimesh SALIKESenior Associate Professor in International Business School Suzhou (IBSS) at Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University (XJTLU)

==============
To read the full text:
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/columns/v01_0229.html
==============

In 2021, China's electronics exports exceeded those of the other five leading exporters combined. This column analyses the rise of China as a centre for electronics manufacturing. It argues that the key drivers of growth were intense competition, education that facilitated technology transfer, and infrastructure development. However, China's nonlinear innovation model also leaves it dependent on foreign technology and vulnerable to protectionism from other countries. To forestall protectionism, China should nurture domestic consumption. Other countries, including the US, should promote manufacturing by focusing on incentives, education, and infrastructure.

The value of China's electronics exports increased from $5 billion in 1990 to $1 trillion in 2021. In 2021, its electronics exports exceeded the electronics exports of the other five leading exporters combined. Figure 1 shows the electronics exports of leading producers.

Not only has the value of China's electronics exports increased, but so too has China's value added in these exports. Xing (2021) discussed how, when the first iPhone came out in 2007, China's only contribution was a $6.50 per phone assembly fee to Foxconn. Many of the parts and components came from firms in Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and other Asian economies. By contrast, for Apple's 2022 list of input providers, 151 suppliers resided in China.

Related Papers

"Exchange Rates and Tariffs: Unravelling their impacts on China's ICT exports while accounting for product sophistication"
CHEN Chen (Fuzhou University of International Studies and Trade) / Nimesh SALIKE (International Business School Suzhou) / Willem THORBECKE (Senior Fellow, RIETI)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/25060003.html

"The Diminishing Impact of Exchange Rates on China's Exports"
Willem THORBECKE (Senior Fellow, RIETI) / CHEN Chen (Fuzhou University of International Studies and Trade) / Nimesh SALIKE (International Business School Suzhou)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/25010018.html

"Import Competition and Restructuring Strategies: Evidence from Japanese firm-level data"
ITO Tadashi (Gakushuin University) / MATSUURA Toshiyuki (Faculty Fellow, RIETI)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/25060008.html

The Direct and Indirect Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative on Exports to China
LI Haonan (Waseda University) / TODO Yasuyuki (Faculty Fellow, RIETI)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/25040009.html

Related Articles

"The ripple beyond borders: Indirect effects of US export controls on Japanese firms"
HAYAKAWA Kazunobu (Overseas Research Fellow at Institute of Developing Economies) / ITO Keiko (Professor, Faculty of Commerce at Chuo University, Project Member at Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI))
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/columns/v01_0227.html

"A New Phase of the U.S.-China Trade War: Japan should support the order through cooperation with emerging countries"
KIMURA Fukunari (Consulting Fellow, RIETI)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/papers/contribution/kimura-fukunari/05.html

"The Role of Institutions in China's Economic Development- Inspired by the discussion in Why Nations Fail? -"
Chi Hung KWAN (Consulting Fellow, RIETI / Senior Fellow, Nomura Institute of Capital Markets Research)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/china/24120901.html

Our Latest Discussion Papers

"Global Market Power of Japanese Multinational Firms"
YAMANOUCHI Kenta (Kagawa University) / HOSONO Kaoru (Faculty Fellow, RIETI) / TAKIZAWA Miho (Gakushuin University)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/25090001.html

"Nonlinear Earnings Dynamics and Inequality over the Life Cycle: Evidence from Japanese Municipal Tax Records"
KITAO Sagiri (Senior Fellow (Specially Appointed), RIETI) / SUZUKI Michio (Tohoku University) / YAMADA Tomoaki (Meiji University)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/25080016.html

"The Effects of Social Insurance Premium on Employment, Labor Costs, and Revenue: Evidence from Japan"
HOSONO Kaoru (Faculty Fellow, RIETI) / HOTEI Masaki (Daito Bunka University)
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/25080014.html

List of Discussion Papers:
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/act_dp.html
List of Upcoming and Past Symposiums:
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/symposium.html
List of Upcoming and Past BBL Seminars:
https://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/bbl/

* To subscribe, please go to SHANON's website.
Subscribe

Event Information

For a complete list of past and upcoming event information.

Symposiums

Workshops

BBL Seminars

Fellow titles and links in the text are as of the date of publication.

For questions or comments regarding RIETI Report, please contact the editor.

*If the "Send by mailer" button does not work, please copy the address into your email "send to" field and connect the prefix and the suffix of the address with an "@", sending it normally.

RIETI Report is published bi-weekly.