OGURO Kazumasa

OGURO Kazumasa

OGURO Kazumasa

Consulting Fellow

Professor, Faculty of Economics, Hosei University

Activities at RIETI

Expertise

Public Economics

Education

2010 Ph.D. Economics, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University
2003 M.A. Economics, Graduate School of Economics, Kyoto University
1997 B.S. Physics, Kyoto University

Experience

2015 Professor, Faculty of Economics, Hosei University
2013 Associate Professor, Faculty of Economics, Hosei University
2010 Associate Professor, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University
2010 Senior Research Fellow, IIPS
2008 Research Fellow, Institute for International Policy Studies (IIPS)
2005 Senior Economist, Policy Research Institute, MOF
1997 Joined Ministry of Finance (MOF)

Selected Publications and Papers

Article (* = referred articles)

  • Kazumasa Oguro, "Challenges confronting Abenomics and Japanese public finance―Fiscal consolidation must start by squarely facing reality―," Public Policy Review, Vol.10, No.2, pp.301-318, 2014.
  • * Kazumasa Oguro, "Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden in the Endogenous Fertility Setting," Economic Modelling, Volume 44, pp.252-265,2015.
  • * Kazumasa Oguro, "Japanese vision on health care in 2035," The Lancet, Volume 385, Number 9987, pp.2549-2550, 2015.
  • * Kazumasa Oguro, "Designing an Optimal Public Pension System," Australian Economic Papers, forthcoming, 2016.
  • * Kazumasa Oguro and Morohiro Sato, "Public Debt Accumulation and Fiscal Consolidation," Applied Economics, Volume 46, Issue 7, pp. 663-673, 2014.
  • Takashi Oshio and Kazumasa Oguro, "Fiscal Sustainability under an Aging Population in Japan: A financial market perspective," Public Policy Review, Vol.9, No.4, pp.735-750, 2013.
  • Kazumasa Oguro and Junichiro Takahata, "Child Benefits and Macroeconomics Simulation Analyses: An Overlapping-Generations Model with Endogenous Fertility," Public Policy Review, Vol.9, No.4, pp.633-659, 2013.
  • * Kazumasa Oguro and Motohiro Sato, "Impact of Deflation on Real Interest rate of Government Bonds," The Economic Review, Vol 64, No.2, 2013.
  • * Kazumasa Oguro, Manabu Shimasawa and Junichiro Takahata, "Child Benefits and Welfare for Current and Future Generations: Simulation Analyses in an Overlapping-Generations Model with Endogenous Fertility," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Volume 3, Issue 4, 2013.
  • * Kazumasa Oguro, Manabu Shimasawa, Reiko Aoki and Takashi Oshio, "Demographic Change, Intergenerational Altruism, and Fiscal Policy - A Political Economy Approach -," Studies in Applied Economics, Volume 6, 2013
  • * Kazumasa Oguro, Takashi Oshio and Junichiro Takahata, "Ability transmission, endogenous fertility, and educational subsidy," Applied Economics, Volume 45, Issue 17, 2012.
  • * Kazumasa Oguro, Junichiro Takahata, and Manabu Shimasawa, "Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden: OLG Model with Endogenous Fertility," Modern Economy, Volume 2, No. 4, 2011.
  • Kazumasa Oguro, "Japan's Looming Financial Collapse," Asia-Pacific Review, Volume 17, Issue 2, 2010.
  • * Manabu Shimasawa and Kazumasa Oguro, "The Impact of Immigration on the Japanese Economy: A Multi-Country Simulation Model," Journal of The Japanese and International Economies, Volume 24, Issue 4, 2010.
  • Manabu Shimasawa and Kazumasa Oguro, "The Impacts of Global Recession on the World Economy: An Investigation with a Multi-country Overlapping Generations Simulation Model," Financial Markets and the Global Recession, Nova science Publishers, Inc, 2010.
  • Kazumasa Oguro and Shoichiro Yuyama, "A study on Fiscal Deficit and Declining Birthrate - From the Viewpoint of 'Children as a Social Security Revenue Source'," Financial Review No. 88, 2008.

Recent Discussion Paper

  • "Population Density, Fertility, and Childcare Services from the Perspective of a Two-Region Overlapping Generations Model," RIETI Discussion Paper Series 15-E-093, 2015.
  • "Public Education, Pension and Debt Policy," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.649, 2015.
  • "Fiscal Reform and Improved Earthquake Insurance Claims-paying Capacity: Can the Two Coexist? ―Attempting to reconcile heightened earthquake risk with sound fiscal policy―," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.643, 2015.
  • "Population Aging, Policy Reforms, and Lifetime Net Tax Rate in Japan: A Generational Accounting Approach," Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance, Discussion Paper Series No.14A-04, 2014.
  • Manabu Shimasawa, Kazumasa Oguro and Minoru Masujima, "Population Aging, Policy Reforms, and Lifetime Net Tax Rate in Japan: A Generational Accounting Approach," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.625, May 2014.
  • Manabu Shimasawa, Kazumasa Oguro and Nao Toyoda, "Does Japan have a Gray Democracy? An empirical analysis of prefectural data," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.615, February 2014.
  • Takao Fujii, Fumiaki Hayashi, Jun Iritani and Kazumasa Oguro, "Designing an Optimal Public Pension System," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.578, January 2013.
  • Kazumasa Oguro and Ryo Ishida, "The Viability of a Voting System that Allocates Parliamentary Seats According to Life Expectancy: An analysis using OLG models," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.571, October 2012.
  • Kazumasa Oguro and Motohiro Sato, "Default Risk on Government Bonds, Deflation, and Inflation," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.537, Feb 2012.
  • Ryo Ishida, Kazumasa Oguro and Junichiro Takahata, "Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden in the Endogenous Fertility Setting," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.533, Jan 2012.
  • Kazumasa Oguro and Motohiro Sato, "Public Debt Accumulation and Fiscal Consolidation," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.517, May 2011.
  • Kazumasa Oguro, Manabu Shimasawa, Reiko Aoki and Takashi Oshio, "Demographic Change, Intergenerational Altruism, and Fiscal Policy—A Political Economy Approach—," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.493, November 2010.
  • Kazumasa Oguro, Takashi Oshio and Junichiro Takahata, "Ability transmission, endogenous fertility, and educational subsidy," Center for Intergenerational Studies, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Paper Series No.482, August 2010.
  • Kazumasa Oguro, Takashi Oshio and Junichiro Takahata, "Educational Support and Individual Ability with Endogenous Fertility," RIETI Discussion Paper Series 10-E-019, April 2010.
  • Kazumasa Oguro, Junichiro Takahata and Manabu Shimasawa, "Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden: OLG Model with Endogenous Fertility," Public Economics Program, School of International and Public Policy, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Papers on Demography and Policy #2009-003, September 2009.
  • Kazumasa Oguro, Junichiro Takahata and Manabu Shimasawa, "Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden: OLG Model with Endogenous Fertility," IPSS Discussion Paper Series 2009-E01, July 2009.
  • Manabu Shimasawa and Kazumasa Oguro, "The Impact of Immigration on the Japanese Economy: A Multi-Country Simulation Model," RIETI Discussion Paper Series 09-E-020, May 2009.
  • Kazumasa Oguro and Junichiro Takahata, "Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden with Endogenous Fertility," Public Economics Program, School of International and Public Policy, Hitotsubashi University, Discussion Papers on Demography and Policy #2009-001, April 2009.
  • Kazumasa Oguro and Junichiro Takahata, "Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden with Endogenous Fertility," Institute for International Policy Studies (IIPS) Policy Paper 339E, March 2009.