In the presence of rigid prices, movements in the exchange rate help to absorb external shocks and to reduce changes in net exports. However, they also affect firms' competitiveness, marginal costs, and labor demand. In countries where labor market institutions hinder wage adjustment (for example due to high union density or more rigid collective bargaining agreements), firms are less competitive: labor demand is then more sensitive to external shocks, increasing the risk of unemployment.
Competitiveness, labor market institutions, and monetary policy
Monetary policy should respond to the exchange rate in countries where labor market institutions hinder wage adjustment
Johann Wolfgang Goethe University
- When prices are rigid, flexible exchange rates help to absorb external shocks and stabilize net exports.
- In choosing its optimal interest rate, the monetary authority of a currency area should assign larger weights to economic fluctuations in countries with weaker labor market institutions (i.e. those more vulnerable to external shocks).
- Changes in exchange rates amplify variability in firms' marginal costs and labor demand, thereby impacting employment and unemployment.
- Labor market institutions vary across countries and affect firms' competitiveness differently; weaker labor market institutions increase wages and marginal costs and reduce firms' competitiveness
- Countries belonging to the euro area feature asymmetric labor market institutions, with peripheral countries being less able to cope with unfavorable external or other common shocks.
Author's main message
Exchange rate fluctuations affect firms' competitiveness and, hence, countries' employment and output dynamic. If the detrimental effects of exchange rate fluctuations on the labor market prevail, then the monetary authority should smooth exchange rate fluctuations. In the euro area, weaker labor market institutions reduce the competitiveness of peripheral countries. In the short term, expansionary monetary policies help improve peripheral countries' competitiveness by inducing devaluation of the common currency, which entails positive spillovers for the entire euro area.
This article first appeared on IZA World of Labor in August 2017. Reproduced with permission
November 1, 2017