Author Name | ZHANG Yangyang (Jinan University) / ZHENG Xinye (Renmin University of China) / MARUYAMA Shiko (University of Osaka) |
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Creation Date/NO. | June 2025 25-E-060 |
Research Project | Economic Analysis on the problem of an aging population and a declining birthrate in China and Japan in the COVID-19 pandemic |
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Abstract
How do disabilities affect fertility? Evidence remains scarce in developing countries, where disabilities and son preference are widespread. We construct retrospective panel data on fertility using a hand-collected survey in China. Since son preference is difficult to measure, we embed detailed One-Child Policy rules and existing children’s sex composition into finite mixture models to uncover “patriarchal” and “non-patriarchal” types. We find that wives’ disabilities significantly reduce childbearing, consistent with findings from developed countries. However, in patriarchal families—typically rural with older, educated husbands— wives’ disabilities increase fertility, as childbearing continues until a son is born, seemingly exploiting the wives’ disabilities.