导言
人们指出，目前世界经济前景暗淡，不确定性升级。不确定性的升级有可能对国内生产总值、企业的设备投资与就业、宏观经济的带来较大的负面影响。本次国际工作研讨会聚焦不确定性与企业的相关问题，使用企业和营业所概要、问卷调查、新闻报道等，构建微观层面和企业层面的不确定性指数，就不确定性对企业行为、企业绩效等带来的影响介绍最新研究成果，开展讨论。
会议概要
- 时间：2018年4月18日（星期三）
- 会场：独立行政法人经济产业研究所
会议日程
9:50-10:00 Opening Remarks
YANO Makoto (RIETI)
10:00-12:30 Session 1
Chair
TODO Yasuyuki (Waseda U.)
10:00-10:50 "Business Level Expectations and Uncertainty"
Presenter
Nicholas BLOOM (Stanford U.)
10:50-11:40 "Policy Uncertainty in Japan"
Presenter
Steven DAVIS (U. of Chicago)
11:40-12:30 "The Effects of Firm Uncertainty on Economic Activity: New Evidence from One Million Documents"
Presenter
Kyle HANDLEY (U. of Michigan)
12:30-13:30 Lunch
13:30-15:50 Session 2
Chair
Willem THORBECKE (RIETI)
13:30-14:10 "Uncertainty over Working Schedules: From the Viewpoint of Labor Management"
Presenter
MORIKAWA Masayuki (RIETI)
14:10-14:50 "Using Newspaper Text to Quantify Geopolitical Uncertainty"
Presenter
ITO Arata (RIETI)
14:50-15:30 "The New Survey of Corporate Activities and Uncertainty: First Results"
Presenter
SENGA Tatsuro (RIETI / Queen Mary University of London)
15:30-15:50 Coffee break
15:50-17:50 Session 3
Chair
TOMIURA Eiichi (RIETI / Hitotsubashi U.)
15:50-16:30 "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information and Learning in the International Market"
Presenter
Cheng CHEN (U. of Hong Kong)
16:30-17:10 "Factor-biased Multinational Production"
Presenter
Chang SUN (U. of Hong Kong)
17:10-17:50 "Production Chains, Exchange Rate Shocks and Firm Performance"
Presenter
Hongyong ZHANG (RIETI)
17:50-18:00 Closing Remarks
NAKAJIMA Atsushi (RIETI)