Time-space Analyses of Oil Shortages in the Tohoku Region after the 3.11 Great East Japan Earthquake

         
Author Name AKAMATSU Takashi  (Tohoku University) /YAMAGUCHI Hiromichi  (Tohoku University) /NAGAE Takeshi  (Tohoku University) /MARUYAMA Takuya  (Kumamoto University) /INAMURA Hajime  (Tohoku Institute of Technology)
Creation Date/NO. March 2013 13-J-020
Research Project Development Policies for Robust Regional Economies, Learned from the Great East Japan Earthquake of 2011
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Abstract

In this study, we analyzed the actual amount of gasoline transported into Tohoku region during the first month following the Great East Japan Earthquake. We found that: (1) the amount of gasoline supplied in the Tohoku region during the first two weeks was only 1/3 of the normal demand; (2) the shortage of supply in the first two weeks led to a huge back-log of demand; (3) it took four weeks for the backlog to be cleared, and the lost (suppressed) demand during the period was equivalent to the amount of normal demand for seven days; and (4) the gaps between gasoline supply and demand in the Pacific Ocean coast areas were huge compared with those in the Sea of Japan coast areas. The gap in each prefecture of the Tohoku region was gradually reduced over time in the following order: Akita, Aomori, Iwate, Yamagata, and finally, Miyagi prefectures.