人们感知“复苏”的基本条件——基于官方统计数据和民意调查对能登半岛地震的分析

This study examines how people perceived post-disaster recovery following the 2024 Noto Peninsula earthquake in Japan. We integrate official statistics and a nationwide survey of approximately 20,000 respondents to analyze recovery from three perspectives: regional economic structure, behavioral responses, and public perceptions. Official statistics indicate a substantial decline in production activity in the Noto region after the earthquake. At the same time, the region’s industrial and capital structures suggest that economic recovery may be difficult to observe clearly in conventional statistics. Survey results show that perceptions of recovery develop gradually over time and vary depending on individuals’ connections to the affected region, with those less connected finding it harder to form concrete sensations of recovery. These findings suggest that post-disaster recovery is shaped not only by post-disaster changes but also by pre-existing regional structures and social connections.