RIETI-ANU政策研讨会

大国间战略竞争时代的多边主义展望:超越CPTPP

导言

  中国与美国超级大国之间的战略竞争威胁到为亚太地区带来经济繁荣和政治稳定的多边经济秩序。基于规则的多边经济秩序在中美对立中受到挑战。以世贸组织为首的支持战后布雷顿森林体系的国际组织功能失调。规范数字经济、投资和国有企业的现代国际规则尚不完善。

  新规则的制定是以通过区域和多边协议来推进的。美国已宣布将在印太地区建立新的经济框架,但其内容尚不明朗。中国宣布加入CPTPP,对美国退出TPP后的亚太经贸秩序和CPTPP现有成员提出了新的挑战。

  与此同时,驱动21世纪数字经济的规则已经由DEPA(数字经济伙伴关系协定:新加坡、新西兰、智利)和DEA(数字经济协议:澳大利亚和新加坡)等双边以及区域组织形成。这些协定是新的数字经济规则的基石,还是促使全球规则分裂?

  如何构想一条基于规则的经济秩序路径,使各种区域经济协定在考虑经济安全保障要求的同时,实现经济一体化、自由贸易和可持续性的目标?

  日本、澳大利亚等中等强国热切期待为世界带来繁荣、以规则为基础的的多边秩序能够赶上时代的步伐,通过法治化限制大国单方面行使权力。

  本次研讨会探讨在中美战略竞争升级、经济安全保障备受关注的形势下,如何升级以规则为基础的地区秩序,促使美国与亚太接触,鼓励中国遵守多边商定的基于规则的秩序,探索加强东盟中心地位的措施。

会议概要

  • 时间:2022年2月8日(星期二)10:00-11:30(JST)
  • 使用语言:日语⇔英语(提供同声传译服务)
  • 会议费:免费
  • 举办方式:网络发布
  • 主办:独立行政法人经济产业研究所(RIETI),澳大利亚国立大学(ANU)

会议日程

开幕词

矢野诚

矢野诚(RIETI理事长,京都大学经济研究所特任教授,上智大学特任教授)

基调演讲

演讲:大国间竞争时代的多边主义

Shiro Patrick ARMSTRONG

Shiro Patrick ARMSTRONG(Visiting Fellow, RIETI / Associate Professor, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University / Director, Australia-Japan Research Centre / Director, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research)

嘉宾讨论

讨论嘉宾

Grace GOWN

Grace GOWN(Head of Global Government Advisory, Access Partnership)

简历

Grace Gown is currently Head of Global Government Advisory at Access Partnership, a global tech public policy firm. Grace has extensive public policy experience, and has provided advice within and to governments, regional bodies and international organisations (such as ASEAN and APEC), and multinational companies and industry associations, on a range of digital economy and digital trade issues across Southeast Asia and Australia. Grace leads a number of digital economy and digital trade focused research projects at Access Partnership, focusing on fit-for-purpose policy development, and promotion of regional alignment. Prior to joining Access Partnership, Grace worked for an Australian government inquiry developing practical recommendations to improve the child safety regulatory framework, with a strong focus on the online environment, and at an Australian government department promoting digital literacy and skills within the school education system, including implementation of government STEM education programs. Grace holds a Bachelor of International Studies and a Bachelor of Laws (Hon II) from Macquarie University, Australia.

Lili Yan ING

Lili Yan ING(Lead Advisor (Southeast Asia Region), the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA))

简历

Dr Ing was appointed as Lead Advisor to the Minister of Trade of Indonesia from 2017-2019 and Senior Advisor on Trade and Investment at the President's Office of the Republic of Indonesia from 2015-2016. She has written articles and edited books, among others: World Trade Evolution, East Asian Integration, The Indonesian Economy, Production Networks in Southeast Asia, Regional Integration and Non-Tariff Measures in ASEAN, Non-Tariff Measures in ASEAN, and 50 Years of Indonesia's Trade Policy. She regularly speaks at international fora such as WTO symposiums, NTM Weeks, and East Asia Business and Investment Summit. She is also a frequent contributor to the East Asia Forum, The Diplomat, Asian Nikkei Review, and Jakarta Post.

Mary E. LOVELY

Mary E. LOVELY(Anthony M. Solomon Senior Fellow, The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) / Professor of Economics at the Maxwell School, Syracuse University)

简历

Mary E. Lovely, Anthony M. Solomon senior fellow at the Peterson Institute, is professor of economics and Melvin A. Eggers Faculty Scholar at Syracuse University's Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs, where she combines interests in international economics and China's development. During 2011-15, she served as coeditor of the China Economic Review. Her current research projects investigate the effect of China's foreign direct investment policies on trade flows and entry mode, the relationship between proximity to export markets and cross-city wage variation, and the influence of Chinese tariff reductions on labor shares of value in its manufacturing firms. She recently completed studies of American manufacturing employment and outsourcing to low-income countries, the role of intellectual returnees in the success of China's photovoltaic solar industry, and the structure of Chinese reforms of state-owned enterprises. Lovely earned her PhD in economics at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor and a master's degree in city and regional planning from Harvard University.

宋 泓

宋 泓(中国社会科学院美国研究所(CASS,IAS)副所长)

简历

Dr. Song Hong, Deputy Director General and Senior Fellow at the Institute of American Studies (IAS), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), Professor of the Graduate School of CASS. He obtained his Bachelor degree in philosophy from the Department of Philosophy at Northwest University in 1987, and Master degrees in Economics at Fudan University in 1994 and Ph.D. degree in Economics 1997 from Nankai University. Professor Song is an economist. He focuses on trade and investment issues. A special concern is with the impacts of multinational enterprises on industrial development in developing countries, especially in China.

主持人

渡辺 哲也

渡边哲也(RIETI副所长,东京大学公共政策研究生院客座教授,顺天堂研究生院数据科学专业客座教授)