课题概要
本研究课题将利用两年时间,调动本研究小组成员通过高精度数据的实证分析得出的CHPCA方法和网络科学新方法,理清新冠疫情的影响之下宏观经济波动的现状。
新冠疫情无时无刻地发生变化,针对新冠疫情的扩散和收敛状况的变化,相应的政策也会发生变化。本研究课题将根据实证数据科学把握,明确政策的影响,明示未来政策的理想方式。
为此,需要对宏观经济学有更深入的了解。本研究课题设置下述五个研究主题,并从多个方面开展研究。
(1) 基于对供应链数据模拟推算新冠疫情的影响和对策
(2) 新冠疫情与宏观经济:扩散与收敛
(3) 综合分析各种数据,制作经济指标,预测波及效应
(4) 国际性贸易与投资的微观分析以及国际投资投入产出表建议
(5) 金融机构内部存取数据构成的支付网络动态
执行期间: 2020年10月12日 — 2022年9月30日
主要研究成果
2022年度成果
RIETI工作论文
- 22-E-112
"Firm-level Study on the Global Connection through Stock Ownership Relations" (KICHIKAWA Yuichi, IINO Takahiro, IKEDA Yuichi and IYETOMI Hiroshi) - 22-E-092
"Similarity and Connectivity of Industrial Networks of Japanese Prefecture Based on Firm-level Data" (GOTO Hiromitsu and SOUMA Wataru) - 22-E-082
"Does the Supply Network Shape the Firm Size Distribution? The Japanese case" (Corrado DI GUILMI and FUJIWARA Yoshi) - 22-E-076
"Lockdowns Require Geographic Coordination because of the Propagation of Economic Effects through Supply Chains" (INOUE Hiroyasu, MURASE Yohsuke and TODO Yasuyuki)
2021年度成果
RIETI工作论文
- 22-E-028
"Complex Global Interdependencies between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risks Indices" (SOUMA Wataru, Carolina Magda ROMA, GOTO Hiromitsu, IYETOMI Hiroshi and Irena VODENSKA) - 21-E-097
"Network Analysis of the Determinants of Attitudes towards Immigrants across Regions" (Rachael Kei KAWASAKI and IKEDA Yuichi)
2020年度成果
RIETI工作论文
- 21-E-006
"Dual Labor Market and the 'Phillips Curve Puzzle'" (AOYAMA Hideaki, Corrado DI GUILMI, FUJIWARA Yoshi and YOSHIKAWA Hiroshi) - 21-E-005
"Money Flow Network Among Firms' Accounts in a Regional Bank of Japan" (FUJIWARA Yoshi, INOUE Hiroyasu, YAMAGUCHI Takayuki, AOYAMA Hideaki, TANAKA Takuma and KIKUCHI Kentaro)